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IMF lowers 2026 global growth forecast amid Middle East war and trade risks

  • The IMF revised its 2026 global growth forecast down to 3.0%, citing ongoing risks from the Middle East conflict, trade fragmentation, and potential market corrections in AI.
  • Growth is expected to rebound to 3.4% in 2027 but remain below the 3.5% average seen in 2024 and 2025.
  • Inflation forecasts were raised to 4.7% for 2026, with energy prices 25% higher than before the war, and expected to remain elevated.
  • The forecast assumes the Strait of Hormuz will reopen by mid-July, with oil prices averaging $89 per barrel.
  • The IMF highlighted a V-shaped recovery with weaker growth in 2026 followed by a rebound in 2027, supported by demand for AI and technology.
  • Regional forecasts include a 2.3% growth for the US in 2026, 0.9% for the euro area, 4.6% for China, and a 1.2 percentage point cut to 0.7% for the Middle East and Central Asia.

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EBRD launches first trade finance facility in Senegal to boost regional trade
LIVE
Published: 14 Jul, 2026
1 update
Cross-Border Payments
Development Finance
MDB Trade Loans and Guarantees
+1 more
Europe and Central Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa

EBRD launches first trade finance facility in Senegal to boost regional trade

EBRD launches its first trade finance facility in Senegal, providing €15 million to Ecobank to boost regional trade.

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Standard Chartered secures USD 785 million financing facility to support Kazakhstan’s National Road Rehabilitation Programme
LIVE
Published: 13 Jul, 2026
1 update
Development Finance
Trade Finance
Europe and Central Asia

Standard Chartered secures USD 785 million financing facility to support Kazakhstan’s National Road Rehabilitation Programme

Standard Chartered secures USD 785 million facility for Kazakhstan's road rehabilitation programme, with MIGA support for 7,700 kilometres of road works.

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UKEF and British Business Bank to launch joint finance scheme for smaller exporters
LIVE
Published: 12 Jul, 2026
1 update
Cash Management
Export Agency Finance
Risk Management
+2 more
Europe and Central Asia

UKEF and British Business Bank to launch joint finance scheme for smaller exporters

UKEF and the British Business Bank launch a joint finance scheme in spring 2025 to help smaller UK exporters access working capital and term loans.

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Development Finance
Supply Chain Finance
East Asia & Pacific
Europe and Central Asia
Latin America & the Caribbean
+3 more

The IMF revised its 2026 global growth forecast down to 3.0%, citing ongoing risks from the Middle East conflict, trade fragmentation, and potential market corrections in AI.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
10 Jul, 2026
Development Finance
Export Agency Finance
Sustainability
Europe and Central Asia

Enel Group signed an agreement for a multi-borrower, multi-currency financing facility of up to €1 billion with Citi as Global Coordinator, HSBC as Sustainability Bank, and Germany’s Export Credit Agency Euler Hermes as guarantor.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
10 Jul, 2026
Swift launches blockchain-based ledger to enable 24/7 cross-border payments with tokenised deposits
LIVE
Published: 10 Jul, 2026
1 update
Cross-Border Payments
Digital Assets
Digital Payments Channels
+5 more
East Asia & Pacific
Europe and Central Asia
Middle East and North Africa
+2 more

Swift launches blockchain-based ledger to enable 24/7 cross-border payments with tokenised deposits

This ledger enables early adopter financial institutions to support 24/7 cross-border payments using tokenised deposits

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Cross-Border Payments
Payments
North America

U.S. Bank introduced Enhanced Payments, a bundled solution integrated into its online banking and mobile app, designed to help small business owners move money quickly and affordably.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
09 Jul, 2026
Foreign Exchange
Hedging
North America

The National Bank of Canada (NBC) projects limited upward movement for the Canadian dollar due to diverging monetary policies between the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
09 Jul, 2026
Standard Chartered secures EUR 514 million green financing for Easpring Finland’s lithium-ion battery plant
LIVE
Published: 09 Jul, 2026
1 update
Cash Management
Export Agency Finance
Trade Finance
+1 more
East Asia & Pacific
Europe and Central Asia

Standard Chartered secures EUR 514 million green financing for Easpring Finland’s lithium-ion battery plant

Standard Chartered arranges EUR 514 million green financing for Easpring Finland's lithium-ion battery manufacturing plant in Kotka.

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Cross-Border Payments
Tokenisation
Middle East and North Africa
North America

HSBC Qatar has partnered with local fintech Noqoody to offer merchant acquiring services to corporate banking clients, enabling acceptance of debit and credit card payments.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
09 Jul, 2026
Cross-Border Payments
Stablecoins
Treasury Management
Europe and Central Asia
North America

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
08 Jul, 2026
Foreign Exchange
Hedging
Liquidity Management
East Asia & Pacific
South Asia

The Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) identified three priorities: developing a fixed income and currency (FIC) trading platform, expanding fixed income use as collateral, and providing more risk management tools.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
08 Jul, 2026
Sustainability
Trade
East Asia & Pacific
South Asia

NEC announced a new financing program with Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp. to support suppliers in reducing greenhouse gas emissions across its supply chain.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
07 Jul, 2026
Foreign Exchange
Hedging
Liquidity Management
+1 more
East Asia & Pacific
South Asia

As per a report by Tokyo Shoko Research, 45 firms cited the weak yen as a cause of bankruptcy in the first half of 2026, marking a more than 30% increase from a year earlier and the highest level since 2022.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
06 Jul, 2026
Trade
Trade Finance
Europe and Central Asia
Middle East and North Africa

Türkiye is exploring joining the European Union’s Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA), with related financial institutions actively working on the issue, according to Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
06 Jul, 2026
Cryptocurrency
Digital Assets
Stablecoins
+1 more
Europe and Central Asia
North America

Standard Chartered, in partnership with Circle Internet Group, has launched a capability allowing institutional clients to access USDC minting and redemption through a single onboarding and service experience.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
03 Jul, 2026
UK banks boost cross-border payments experience with Swift’s new consumer payments initiative
LIVE
Published: 03 Jul, 2026
1 update
Company News
Cross-Border Payments
Digital Payments Channels
+4 more
East Asia & Pacific
Europe and Central Asia
Middle East and North Africa
+2 more

UK banks boost cross-border payments experience with Swift’s new consumer payments initiative

UK banks are joining Swift’s new consumer payments initiative to improve the speed, transparency and reliability of cross border payments for consumers and small businesses.

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Trump Administration declines to renew USMCA Trade Agreement
LIVE
Published: 03 Jul, 2026
1 update
Company News
Trade
Trade Distribution
+3 more
North America

Trump Administration declines to renew USMCA Trade Agreement

The Trump administration has declined to renew the USMCA trade agreement, triggering annual reviews and raising uncertainty around North American trade flows, tariffs and future regional negotiations.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
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Digital Assets
Payments
Stablecoins
Europe and Central Asia
North America

Payward has completed its acquisition of Reap Technologies, a stablecoin-native card issuing and payments infrastructure company, enhancing its B2B platform with globally regulated card issuance and stablecoin payment capabilities.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
02 Jul, 2026
Cryptocurrency
Digital Assets
Payments
+1 more
Europe and Central Asia
North America

Morph announced the native integration of USDGO, a U.S. dollar stablecoin issued by federally chartered Anchorage Digital Bank, to serve as a regulated settlement asset for cross-border payment infrastructure.

Devanshee DaveDevanshee Dave
01 Jul, 2026